The EVPM enables participants to collaborate with others on generating crowdsourced forecasts on the probability of election violence occurring in given elections, its intensity, tactics employed, and phase of the electoral cycle.
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CURRENT CROWDSOURCED RISK ASSESSMENT FOR ELECTORAL VIOLENCE
LAST UPDATED: 9 JULY, 2018
Elections we are actively monitoring
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Here’s how you can make forecasts that will add to our collective insights:
Sign Up
Create an account to get access to all the forecasting questions and become an official member of the community.
Select a forecast question
Select an election you have a perspective on, make a forecast, and provide a rationale for why you’re making your forecast.
Forecasts are combined
Anyone can make a forecast at any time. While they do, we aggregate everyone’s input in to what we call the “crowd forecast.”
Use the Findings
Use the crowd's forecast findings to pursue and inform violence prevention initiatives in your organization.
The Electoral Violence Prediction Market is supported by:
